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Thread: Race Progress

  1. #61
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Posts
    20

    Default

    Hey Danny ~ can you put the standings calcs into real time for dummies whose cancer drugs don't allow math...thanks, Lucie

  2. #62
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    255

    Default 6/29 0900 Predicted standings

    Hi Lucie, I've added ETA's in hours for the 24hr predictions. Let me know if that is what you wanted.

    Idefix still in the lead and seems to still be in pressure. Solar Wind also keeping its average up.

    Looks like the RC has another 4-5 days of kicking back in Hanalei Bay.

    24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
    Idefix 1152594.419 140.4651163
    Solar Wind 1182374.545 178.1818182
    Harrier 1193438.319 201.2773109
    Dream Chaser 1198022.979 173.106383
    Hecla 1245584.056 109.7622378
    Culebra 1272913.383 190.3759398
    Saraband 1276678.416 233.8217822
    Pakele 1296624.779 213.4513274
    Taz!! 1305999.07 200.744186
    Southernaire 1412249.655 264.4137931
    Warriors Wish 1553762.791 237.7674419
    Bandicoot 1600261.053 281.8947368
    Blue Moon 1661798.049 370.2439024
    Second Verse 1772160 346.1333333

    Name 24hr speed
    Bandicoot 5.333333333
    Blue Moon 4.458333333
    Culebra 4.875
    Dream Chaser 4.458333333
    Harrier 4.208333333
    Hecla 4.75
    Idefix 5.833333333
    Pakele 4.916666667
    Saraband 4.416666667
    Second Verse 4.208333333
    Solar Wind 5.875
    Southernaire 4.5
    Taz!! 4.833333333
    Warriors Wish 3.583333333

  3. #63
    pogen's Avatar
    pogen is offline Sailing canoe "Kūʻaupaʻa"
    Join Date
    Nov 2008
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    927

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  4. #64
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    3,688

    Default Dinner Index

    While we all appreciate Dan's careful analysis of finish times adjusted for zip code and shoe size, I have used my Cray supercomputer abacus to calculate the more important Dinner Index.

    I'm happy to report that if all boats keep up their reported pace** they will arrive in time for the awards dinner. Blue Moon might make it in time for dessert if he finds that turbo mode. The dinner is in ten days.

    Boat name and whole days to finish:

    Bandicoot . . . . . 8
    Blue Moon. . . . . 10
    Culebra . . . . . . .6
    Dream Chaser. . .8
    Harrier . . . . . . . 6
    Hecla . . . . . . . . 3
    Idefix . . . . . . . . 4
    Pakele . . . . . . . 8
    Saraband . . . . . 8
    Second Verse . . 9
    Solar Wind . . . . 5
    Southernaire . . .8
    Taz!! . . . . . . . . 7
    Warrior's Wish . .5

    ** Hmm, based on Travieso's subsequent post, it appears some of the reported speeds were a bit optimistic.
    Last edited by BobJ; 06-30-2010 at 10:17 AM.

  5. #65
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Posts
    70

    Default

    Looks like the winds will finally shape up today for the whole fleet, and the East Pac hurricanes have absolutely died.

  6. #66
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    255

    Default 6/29 2100 Predicted standings

    Here comes the 'General'!


    24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
    Idefix 1103737.021 114.893617
    Harrier 1124754.504 170.1984733
    Hecla 1142040 69
    Solar Wind 1166997.612 161.9104478
    Culebra 1215760 162.5
    Dream Chaser 1231160 170.3111111
    Taz!! 1253075.396 174.0431655
    Saraband 1390659.326 253.4831461
    Warriors Wish 1402292.308 183.6923077
    Pakele 1437200 240.5
    Southernaire 1486760 273.1111111
    Bandicoot 1510756.129 245.0322581
    Second Verse 1672884.124 306.556701
    Blue Moon 1685400 364.8

    Name 24hr speed
    Bandicoot 5.166666667
    Blue Moon 3.333333333
    Culebra 6
    Dream Chaser 5.625
    Harrier 5.458333333
    Hecla 8
    Idefix 5.875
    Pakele 4
    Saraband 3.708333333
    Second Verse 4.041666667
    Solar Wind 5.583333333
    Southernaire 4.5
    Taz!! 5.791666667
    Warriors Wish 4.333333333

  7. #67
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    255

    Default 6/30 0900 Predicted standings

    No huge changes since last report. Taz looks to be picking up some speed, and Dream Chaser dropped a couple of spots.

    WW went stealth for this report, so can't count him in this report.

    Hecla is just a bit over 2 days out.

    24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
    Idefix 1059781 90.6835443
    Harrier 1089180 148.3165468
    Hecla 1140212 56.49230769
    Solar Wind 1154485 146.4347826
    Culebra 1195240 144.8
    Saraband 1214898 192.6605505
    Taz!! 1239838 158.3661972
    Dream Chaser 1250754 163.7538462
    Blue Moon 1432920 282.6666667
    Bandicoot 1436099 212.2941176
    Second Verse 1476480 240
    Pakele 1526269 253.2413793
    Southernaire 1542901 276.7058824
    Warriors Wish #VALUE! #VALUE!


    Name 24hr speed
    Bandicoot 5.7
    Blue Moon 4.1
    Culebra 6.3
    Dream Chaser 5.4
    Harrier 5.8
    Hecla 8.1
    Idefix 6.6
    Pakele 3.6
    Saraband 4.5
    Second Verse 4.9
    Solar Wind 5.8
    Southernaire 4.3
    Taz!! 5.9
    Warriors Wish

  8. #68
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    255

    Default 6/30 0900 Predicted standings update

    Including WW report this time:


    24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
    Idefix 1059781 90.6835443
    Harrier 1089180 148.3165468
    Hecla 1140212 56.49230769
    Solar Wind 1154485 146.4347826
    Culebra 1195240 144.8
    Saraband 1214898 192.6605505
    Taz!! 1239838 158.3661972
    Dream Chaser 1250754 163.7538462
    Warriors Wish 1255473 130.9090909
    Blue Moon 1432920 282.6666667
    Bandicoot 1436099 212.2941176
    Second Verse 1476480 240
    Pakele 1526269 253.2413793
    Southernaire 1542901 276.7058824

  9. #69
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    255

    Default George's note

    Good to hear his enthusiasm back in the note. As I read it I could hear him speaking. You know exactly how it would sound coming out of his mouth. Go Taz!

    Not sure he knew what to do with the picture of the 'naked lady'

    Cheers

  10. #70
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    255

    Default 6/30 2100 Predicted standings

    Idefix still holding on to the lead, but bit of reshuffling in the top as the wind fills in and boats settle on hull speeds. It will be interesting what the 0900 reports looks like, but as the wind settles I wouldn't expect too much movement in the standings.


    24hr Corrected T(sec) ETA (hrs)
    Idefix 1033179 71
    Saraband 1062408 138
    Harrier 1081300 134
    Solar Wind 1119090 125
    Hecla 1132104 42
    Warriors Wish 1176281 97
    Dream Chaser 1184966 133
    Taz!! 1203283 136
    Culebra 1245651 147
    Blue Moon 1293720 232
    Pakele 1333939 188
    Bandicoot 1383001 186
    Second Verse 1446736 220
    Southernaire 1468884 244

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